Photo Credit : WAM
The UAE is expected to experience generally moderate weather conditions throughout the Holy Month of Ramadan, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).
Ramadan this year falls between the second half of February and the first half of March, placing it firmly within the winter season. Forecasts indicate pleasant daytime conditions during the first half of the month, with a slight rise in temperatures anticipated toward the latter part.
Daytime highs are projected to range between 26°C and 32°C on average. However, temperatures in some inland areas could climb to 40°C around midday. Nighttime conditions are expected to remain moderate to pleasant overall, turning relatively cool during the late night and early morning, especially in inland and mountainous regions.
Minimum temperatures are forecast to average between 18°C and 21°C, while certain mountainous and inland locations may see early morning readings near or even below 0°C.
Rainfall outlook and pressure systems
Climatological patterns during this period typically see the region influenced by the extension of the Siberian High pressure system. At times, this system weakens, allowing low-pressure systems to move in from the west or east. When combined with upper-level troughs, these systems can enhance cloud formation and increase the likelihood of rainfall.
Long-term projections suggest rainfall totals this month are expected to be around or below the seasonal average of approximately 8mm. Historically, the highest 24-hour rainfall recorded during this period reached 287.6mm in Al Shuwaib on March 9, 2016.
Humidity, fog and wind conditions
Humidity levels are expected to rise during nighttime and early morning hours, creating favorable conditions for fog and mist formation in some areas. Average maximum relative humidity during the night and early morning is forecast to range between 70% and 85%, while daytime minimum humidity levels may fall between 20% and 35%.
Winds are typically southeasterly during the night and morning before shifting to northwesterly in the afternoon and evening due to land and sea breeze circulation. On some occasions, winds may become active with deepening pressure systems, potentially leading to blowing dust and sand in exposed areas.
Average wind speeds are expected to hover around 13km/h. Historically, the strongest recorded wind gust during this period reached 141km/h at Jebel Mebreh on February 27, 2010.
Fasting hours gradually increase
Fasting hours at the beginning of Ramadan are estimated at around 12 hours and 46 minutes in Abu Dhabi and surrounding areas. By the end of the month, fasting duration is expected to extend to approximately 13 hours and 25 minutes, with slight variations depending on geographic location.
Authorities continue to advise residents to stay updated through official weather bulletins and take necessary precautions during periods of fog, dust or fluctuating temperatures.
