Recovering shipments mask a market still under strain Brent crude continues to trade well above USD 100 per barrel despite a sharp recovery in Middle East oil shipments over the past month. At the same time, diesel prices on both sides of the Atlantic have climbed back above USD 200 per barrel
Crude
The global oil market is sending increasingly different signals depending on where you look. Brent crude futures trade near USD 110 per barrel after gaining almost 20% so far this month, but the price of securing physical crude for immediate delivery in Europe has surged above USD 130. Meanwhile, diesel prices in the US and […]
Gold & Silver Gold trades near $4,290, holding close to its lowest level since early August, as markets brace for tomorrow’s FOMC decision with a quarter-point hike now priced at roughly 90%. Renewed Iran-linked conflict has pushed oil sharply higher, with US diesel above $6/gallon for the first time, absorbing inflation-hedge and momentum flows that […]
U.S. Markets The SPX index is trading at $7,753 today and remains relatively flat, with the Nasdaq 100 trading at $29,660, as investors weigh easing hopes around the Strait of Hormuz against renewed uncertainty over U.S.-Iran negotiations. Brent crude remains elevated near $90 after climbing almost 4% yesterday, keeping pressure on equities and raising inflation […]
Brent crude has jumped more than 9% since Monday, rising back towards USD 79 per barrel as renewed US-Iran tensions revive supply concerns and force a rethink among hedge funds that had recently cut bullish exposure to near-historic lows. The latest rally followed US strikes on targets in Iran and Washington’s decision to revoke a […]
Crude oil has resumed its war-driven rally, with Brent rising almost non-stop since a brief mid-month tumble to USD 86, when hopes for a peace deal and a short-lived reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggered a sharp but temporary correction. Since then, a renewed US and Iranian blockage of the strait has pushed prices […]
Oil prices continue to whipsaw, but with Brent holding below USD 100 after Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran, even as peace talks remain on hold due to Tehran’s refusal to negotiate while the US maintains its naval blockade, which may force Tehran to curb production within 15 days, according to JPM. The result is […]
The oil market is entering 2026 with an unusual mix of short-term comfort and long-term unease. On the surface, supply looks ample. Inventories have risen, demand growth has cooled, and parts of the curve trade with enough softness to keep macro-focused traders relaxed. But beneath that veneer sits a deeper structural tension that has only […]
US Markets After experiencing a steep selloff last week, U.S. indices ended the week with a rebound late Friday. This momentum appears to have continued at the beginning of this week, triggered by renewed hopes of a December rate cut. New York Fed President, John Williams, highlighted growing risks to employment and diminishing upside risks […]
Speculators raise dollar short to four-year high In forex, speculative flows in the week to 24 June – when the Dollar index dropped 1% to trade near a March 2022 low – continued to favour dollar selling, with the gross short position against eight IMM futures contracts rising 8% to USD 20.3 billion — marking […]
Crude prices rose on Monday, briefly touching five-month highs as geopolitical risks in the Middle East escalated. Investor anxiety is mounting over potential Iranian retaliation following U.S. strikes on its nuclear facilities, especially after Iran’s parliament approved measures to potentially block the Strait of Hormuz. While oil prices initially reacted to the headline
WTI crude oil futures rose toward $60 per barrel on Wednesday, building a more than 3% gain from the last session, supported by signs of weaker US production and growing demand in Europe and China. Major producers such as Diamondback Energy and Coterra Energy announced plans to reduce their rig counts, helping to limit production. […]
Forex: COT on forex covering the week to 29 April showed that, despite some emerging USD strength, the dollar-selling theme remained intact, with speculators lifting the gross USD short versus eight IMM futures to an eight-month high of USD 17.1 billion. While selling was broad, the main driver was renewed EURUSD buying, which increased the […]
Forex: In the forex market, speculators sold USD at an accelerated pace, leaving the gross long versus eight IMM futures down 15% on the week but still at an elevated level of USD 26.5 billion. All the major currencies, except EUR, saw net buying, led by strong demand for JPY, which lifted the net long […]
Forex: In forex, speculators responded to emerging USD weakness by turning net sellers of the greenback for the first time in seven weeks. Overall, however, the response to the 1.1% drop in the Dollar Index was mixed, with light net selling of EUR, CHF, and GBP being more than offset by heavy buying of JPY […]
Commodities: In the latest reporting week, the Bloomberg Commodity Index rallied 1.8%, thereby fully recouping losses in the previous week. All sectors except softs saw higher prices, led by precious metals, where all metals saw demand amid haven demand ahead of the US elections, with silver jumping more than 10% after breaking resistance-now-support at USD […]
Commodities: Global financial markets have made a strong recovery, with early August’s market turmoil now a distant memory. This turnaround comes after better-than-expected US economic data reduced fears of a severe downturn in the world’s largest economy, thereby easing pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to implement deep interest rate cuts.
The energy sector is heading for its biggest monthly loss since May 2023, with headlines this past month being dominated by the poor outlook for Chinese demand as economic weakness persists in the world’s top importer of crude oil. In addition, the recent loss of risk appetite across key stock market sectors has also led […]



















