Easing trade tensions was the predominant red thread through markets this past week, starting with news that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng would meet for talks in Geneva this weekend. Market risk sentiment was further boosted by President Trump hinting
Saxo Bank MENA
The copper market continues to trade within a wide range, with some of the price action being driven by market participants trying to preempt what tariff level, if any, the US Commerce Department eventually will recommend the Trump administration apply on US imports. Just like steel and aluminium, Trump has threatened to impose a 25% […]
The Bloomberg Commodity Agriculture Subindex has delivered a total return of 3.2% so far in 2025, contributing positively to the broader Bloomberg Commodity Index, which is up approximately 5.6% year-to-date, the bulk of which stems from gold’s relentless rally. This performance comes amid a turbulent backdrop characterized not only by volatile weather conditions, but also
COT Report: Dollar-selling persists; Crude length trimmed ahead of OPEC output hike – Saxo Bank MENA
Forex: COT on forex covering the week to 29 April showed that, despite some emerging USD strength, the dollar-selling theme remained intact, with speculators lifting the gross USD short versus eight IMM futures to an eight-month high of USD 17.1 billion. While selling was broad, the main driver was renewed EURUSD buying, which increased the […]
The combination of increased power demand for cooling and data centres, as well as the transition to cleaner energy sources and the push to mitigate climate change, will reshape commodity markets in the coming years. Governments and corporations around the world are currently investing heavily in renewable energy infrastructure, electric vehicles, and energy-efficient
An impressive 25% year-to-date rally has seen the spot gold price reach our 2025 target of USD 3,300 well ahead of schedule, raising the question of where do we go next? Gold has been on a tear since Q4 2022 when a triple bottom around USD 1,620 signalled the confirmation of a solid price floor […]
CommoditiesThe latest reporting week ended just ahead of last Wednesday when Trump’s aggressive tariff announcement sent global markets, including commodities, into a major downward spiral on increased expectations that the president’s announcements would trigger a global recession, leading to major repricing of demand expectations. In the days that followed,
This past week, we saw a justified meltdown in risky assets as markets absorbed the blow of Trump’s far larger than expected tariffs on all its major counterparts, sparking threats of retaliation and a broad selloff around the world on concerns that a global trade war on this scale and magnitude will drive an economic […]
US President Trump has imposed the steepest and harshest American tariffs in a century on all its majorcounterparts, sparking threats of retaliation and a broad selloff around the world on concerns that a globaltrade war on this scale and magnitude will drive an economic slowdown—not least in the US, where inflationforecasts have spiked, and sentiment […]
The commodities sector has emerged as one of the best-performing asset classes this year, and as the first quarter moves to a close, and a 2nd April tariff announcement from the Trump administration looms, let’s take a look at the winners and losers so far. In order to do so, we focus on our preferred […]
Crude oil futures continue to recover from a USD 14 selloff that began in January following Trump’s combative inauguration speech, which signalled an inward political focus combined with aggressive trade policies, including tariffs, that were meant to Make America (not the world) Great Again. His speech and subsequent action, including his “drill, baby,
Commodities Gold set multiple new records, peaking above $3,055/oz on Mar 19, driven by inflation fears and geopolitical tensions. Copper surged above $5.20/lb on Mar 19, influenced by tariff-driven supply disruptions. Crude fluctuated, impacted by Middle East tensions and sanctions risks, trading near $70/bbl late week. Equities Digital Assets Bitcoin fluctuated around
Commodities Equities FX Macro Fixed Income
Commodities: Despite a 1.3% rebound in the Bloomberg Commodity Index, hedge funds continued their third consecutive week of net selling, still reacting to the late-February correction that saw the index drop 4.6% before recovering. The total net long across 27 major futures contracts has declined by 44% during this time after hitting a 2-1/2-year high, […]
Commodities Equities Digital Assets Currencies Macro data and headlines Volatility Volatility retreated Friday, with VIX down sharply (-11.7%) to 21.77 as markets rebounded. Futures today suggest caution, with S&P and Nasdaq futures down 0.6%-0.7%, and VIX futures up 2%. The week’s volatility hinges on key macro events, including today’s US retail sales and
The “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla—were, until very recently, the crown jewels of Wall Street, driving much of the market’s gains in 2024 while pulling in billions of dollars from overseas investors looking to join a period of US exceptionalism. However, the tide has turned dramatically in
Commodities: A second week of broad and accelerated risk aversion and rising volatility saw all sectors and most contracts covered in this update being exposed to net selling. This occurred during a reporting week that, despite a weaker dollar, saw the Bloomberg Commodities Index drop 1.4% as hedge funds lowered their overall exposure amid rising […]
Global financial markets remain on an emotional edge amid a constant flow of news from the Trump administration. In commodities, we have seen prices across several raw materials respond differently to the prospect of US import tariffs and retaliatory measures by its main counterparts, including Canada, Mexico, and China. Crude oil trades lower amid fears […]
Global financial markets are on both a technical and an emotional edge as Trump’s tariffs have gone forward, and speculation swirls that he will announce something particularly dramatic in a speech later today. Given the recent movements across the US stock market and the dollar—which has weakened instead of rising—there is growing speculation that we […]
Commodities: Equities: Macro: FX: Fixed income: