Commodities The BCOM Index gained 1.5% during the reporting week before US inflation-led market turmoil triggered end-of-week volatility across bond yields, the dollar, and not least key commodities, particularly recently strong-performing investment and industrial metals. During the reporting
Saxo Bank
Macro: Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new Federal Reserve chair, with bond markets already repricing higher and raising interest rates ahead of his tenure. US retail sales rose 0.5% month-on-month in April 2026, in line with forecasts, after a downwardly revised 1.6% gain in March. Gasoline stations led with a 2.8% increase amid higher […]
US President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on 14–15 May, in one of the week’s key geopolitical and market events. Before that, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Seoul on 12–13 May to narrow the economic agenda, including trade-truce […]
Macro headlines US forces said they intercepted unprovoked Iranian attacks on three Navy destroyers as the vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz toward the Gulf of Oman. This is a further testing the fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Japan’s nominal cash earnings rose 2.7% year-on-year in March 2026, slowing from a revised 3.4% gain in February and […]
Macro headlines US-Iran peace hopes moved from a geopolitical headline to the main macro driver. Oil fell sharply on Wednesday as markets priced a lower risk of prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, after the US reportedly sent a one-page proposal through Pakistan aimed at ending the conflict and gradually reopening the waterway. Iran […]
Equities hit fresh records as Hormuz tensions ease, but gold’s persistent bid suggests the geopolitical premium has not fully left the room. WTI crude pulled back from Monday’s Strait of Hormuz spike on Tuesday, as Washington signalled that a short-term naval corridor solution was in progress – freeing equity markets to focus on a strong […]
Following the Fed meeting yesterday, our spokesperson, Hamza Dweik, Head of Trading (MENA), Saxo Bank, has shared his insights on the developments. “Yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting largely confirmed what markets had been signaling going in: policy remains firmly in a holding pattern, with the Fed emphasizing patience and data dependence rather than urgency.
Crude oil has resumed its war-driven rally, with Brent rising almost non-stop since a brief mid-month tumble to USD 86, when hopes for a peace deal and a short-lived reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggered a sharp but temporary correction. Since then, a renewed US and Iranian blockage of the strait has pushed prices […]
Amid the current geopolitical headwinds, markets remain increasingly focused on how policymakers will communicate their next steps, particularly as they balance persistent inflation pressures with rising geopolitical uncertainty. As the central bank navigates this delicate transition of power and a volatile global landscape, attention is firmly on its long-term
The UAE is entering a transformative chapter in its economic history as it transitions toward a fully independent energy strategy. This evolution reflects a nation that has successfully balanced rapid industrial growth with sophisticated financial planning, resulting in an economy where the non-oil sector now drives the majority of national wealth. By stepping into a […]
The precious metals market has spent the past several months undergoing a sharp reset. Following an explosive rally that took gold, and not least silver, to fresh record highs, both metals have since corrected – not because their long-term fundamentals have materially weakened, but because the macro backdrop has shifted abruptly in the wake of […]
The new Asia trade: less about cheap markets, more about AI scarcity Asian stocks cannot escape short-term volatility from Middle East-related headlines. Higher oil prices, shipping disruption risks, and geopolitical shocks still matter, especially for energy-importing economies. But for now, the bigger force in markets appears to be FOMO around AI, not war angst.
The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index is heading for another strong weekly gain, rising around 4% and lifting its year-to-date advance to 25%. As has been the case since the escalation of the Middle East conflict, energy remains the dominant driver, but the composition of gains continues to evolve. While crude oil prices have extended […]
Oil prices continue to whipsaw, but with Brent holding below USD 100 after Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran, even as peace talks remain on hold due to Tehran’s refusal to negotiate while the US maintains its naval blockade, which may force Tehran to curb production within 15 days, according to JPM. The result is […]
Forex: The latest report showed a 53% jump in gross USD longs versus eight IMM futures to $17.5 billion – a 14-month high – up from a $19 billion short just before the Middle East conflict began, highlighting a sharp shift into the most liquid safe-haven asset. This buying occurred despite a small net […]
The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) is heading for a weekly loss of around 3.6%, marking a notable pause following an extended rally that has left the index still up some 22% year-to-date. Beneath the headline decline, however, the picture is far from uniform. The setback has been overwhelmingly driven by a sharp correction in the […]
Gold’s recent correction has challenged the widely held perception of bullion as a reliable safe haven during times of geopolitical stress. However, the latest price action should not be mistaken for a structural shift. Instead, it reflects a combination of macro headwinds and positioning dynamics following an extended rally. At the core of the […]
Investors around the world are maintaining a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next six months, with the strongest confidence directed towards Japan’s equity market, according to Saxo, the leader in online trading and investment, and its latest Investor Forecast Q1 2026. The survey* gathered more than 1,600 responses across ten markets and asked clients how […]
Ahead of the recent announcement of the Dh1 billion support package by Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, UAE business leaders have shared their perspectives on what the initiative could mean for Dubai’s business landscape and overall investor confidence. Hamza Dweik, Head of Trading (MENA), Saxo Bank “Sheikh Hamdan’s announcement of the new business
Forex: The Middle East conflict continued to underpin the dollar, albeit at a slower pace in the latest reporting week to last Tuesday, 24 March. While positioning flows turned more mixed and less one-sided, the gross dollar long versus eight IMM futures still rose to USD 7.53 billion, the highest level since early December. […]




















