The new Asia trade: less about cheap markets, more about AI scarcity Asian stocks cannot escape short-term volatility from Middle East-related headlines. Higher oil prices, shipping disruption risks, and geopolitical shocks still matter, especially for energy-importing economies. But for now,
Saxo Bank
The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index is heading for another strong weekly gain, rising around 4% and lifting its year-to-date advance to 25%. As has been the case since the escalation of the Middle East conflict, energy remains the dominant driver, but the composition of gains continues to evolve. While crude oil prices have extended […]
Oil prices continue to whipsaw, but with Brent holding below USD 100 after Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran, even as peace talks remain on hold due to Tehran’s refusal to negotiate while the US maintains its naval blockade, which may force Tehran to curb production within 15 days, according to JPM. The result is […]
Forex: The latest report showed a 53% jump in gross USD longs versus eight IMM futures to $17.5 billion – a 14-month high – up from a $19 billion short just before the Middle East conflict began, highlighting a sharp shift into the most liquid safe-haven asset. This buying occurred despite a small net […]
The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) is heading for a weekly loss of around 3.6%, marking a notable pause following an extended rally that has left the index still up some 22% year-to-date. Beneath the headline decline, however, the picture is far from uniform. The setback has been overwhelmingly driven by a sharp correction in the […]
Gold’s recent correction has challenged the widely held perception of bullion as a reliable safe haven during times of geopolitical stress. However, the latest price action should not be mistaken for a structural shift. Instead, it reflects a combination of macro headwinds and positioning dynamics following an extended rally. At the core of the […]
Investors around the world are maintaining a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next six months, with the strongest confidence directed towards Japan’s equity market, according to Saxo, the leader in online trading and investment, and its latest Investor Forecast Q1 2026. The survey* gathered more than 1,600 responses across ten markets and asked clients how […]
Ahead of the recent announcement of the Dh1 billion support package by Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, UAE business leaders have shared their perspectives on what the initiative could mean for Dubai’s business landscape and overall investor confidence. Hamza Dweik, Head of Trading (MENA), Saxo Bank “Sheikh Hamdan’s announcement of the new business
Forex: The Middle East conflict continued to underpin the dollar, albeit at a slower pace in the latest reporting week to last Tuesday, 24 March. While positioning flows turned more mixed and less one-sided, the gross dollar long versus eight IMM futures still rose to USD 7.53 billion, the highest level since early December. […]
Gold and silver remain under considerable pressure as the Middle East war continues to trigger a broad macro economic shock across global markets, forcing investors to reprice inflation, rates, growth, and liquidity conditions simultaneously. After many months of strong outperformance, both metals have become vulnerable, not because their strategic case has fundamentally
Gold continues to struggle for momentum, with the risk of a deeper correction building after the break below the 50-day moving average, last around USD 4,978. While geopolitical risk in the Middle East would normally support prices, several offsetting forces have emerged. First, the war’s impact on energy markets has lifted inflation expectations at […]
Gold has struggled somewhat in recent weeks even as dark clouds gather over the Middle East and the outlook for the global economy becomes increasingly uncertain. Prices continue to hold comfortably above USD 5,000, yet the lack of a stronger bid in the face of rising geopolitical tension has raised questions among investors. The current […]
Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist, Saxo Bank Summary: When markets turn ugly, emotions can become more dangerous than fundamentals. History shows that investors who panic, sell, and miss the rebound often do more damage to returns than the selloff itself. That is why discipline matters most when markets feel hardest to trust. […]
Alexandra Gartrell, VP and EMEA Legal Lead at Cloudera “This year’s International Women’s Day theme, Give to Gain, is a reminder that investing in women’s advancement at work delivers returns for everyone. Diverse teams broaden talent pipelines, improve decision-making, and build workplaces where people are more engaged and more likely to stay. AI systems inherit
International Women’s Day (IWD) often focuses on representation, and rightly so. But in investing, this year’s more powerful story may be about momentum. More women are not just talking about money. They are taking charge of it. Saxo’s client data shows that female participation has risen meaningfully in recent years: Absolute number of female direct […]
Saxo Bank Strategy Market drivers and catalysts: Equities: S. tech slipped on Nvidia jitters, Europe held up on UK earnings, Asia split between Korea strength and Hong Kong weakness. Commodities: Gold remains supported in tight range, Crude oil bounces after sell-off as Iran uncertainty remains Macro events: Germany Flash Feb. CPI, US Jan. PPI, […]
Brent crude’s move back above USD 70 a barrel signals a market strengthening an already notable geopolitical risk premium rather than repricing fundamentals. Reports that any potential US military operation could evolve into a weeks-long campaign, combined with Israeli pressure for an outcome targeting regime change in Tehran, have shifted trader focus from a headline […]
Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist, Saxo Bank Key Points: The current selloff isn’t “AI is over” — it’s a rotation from AI pioneers priced for perfection toward AI enablers with nearer-term cashflows and pricing power. Asia’s resilience reflects its heavier exposure to upstream AI infrastructure (memory, foundries, assembly/packaging) versus the US market’s
Forex: In forex, speculative positioning remained heavily skewed toward US dollar selling despite a modest rebound in the greenback. As a result, the gross short across the eight IMM currency futures more than doubled to a six-month high of USD 17.4 billion. Net buying was seen in all but one of the eight currencies, […]
Vijay Valecha, CIO, Century Financial The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at the range of 3.50% to 3.75% as expected by market participants in the first FOMC meeting of 2026. Out of the 12 voting members, 10 members supported the decision to pause, while two members, Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller, voted against. Supporting […]























