Oil prices have fallen sharply this week as the market increasingly senses that both Washington and Tehran are looking for an exit ramp from a conflict that has inflicted a heavy economic cost on both sides. Brent crude trades near USD 86 per barrel, extending its three-day decline to around
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SHEIN is finally coming to market After failed attempts to list in New York and London, Singapore-headquartered SHEIN is finally preparing to make its stock-market debut in Hong Kong. The fast-fashion retailer is offering 280 million shares at HK$47.60–HK$49.50 each, seeking to raise as much as HK$13.9 billion, or around US$1.8 billion. Trading is […]
Commodities  Hedge funds extended their recent commodity buying spree into a fifth consecutive week, supported by a 4.7% jump in the Bloomberg Commodity Index amid broad strength across energy, precious metals and soft commodities. Overall, the combined net long across the 24 major commodity futures tracked rose by 18% to 1.3 million contracts, a […]
An old macro signal in a changing world For decades, the relationship between copper and gold has been used as a shorthand indicator of the health of the global economy. Copper represents growth, construction, manufacturing and investment, while gold represents safety, monetary uncertainty and demand for a store of value. The traditional interpretation is […]
Commodities  Hedge funds extended their recent commodity buying spree into a fifth consecutive week, supported by a 4.7% jump in the Bloomberg Commodity Index amid broad strength across energy, precious metals and soft commodities. Overall, the combined net long across the 24 major commodity futures tracked rose by 18% to 1.3 million contracts, a […]
Commodities have continued this month to build on the strong and broad gains the sector delivered in July, when the Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index (BCOM TR) posted a 7.5% gain. Together with a further 2.4% rise so far this month, lifting its year-to-date return to 26%, the index has now clawed back the bulk […]
A market driven by headlines Oil continues to gyrate sharply as the war of words between Washington and Tehran leaves no clear path towards reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Brent is trading around USD 90 per barrel, but recent price action has been characterised by rapid swings as traders react to every diplomatic headline. Iran […]
Precious metals regain their footing The most notable development across precious metals is not the strength of last week’s rebound, but the sell-off that failed to materialise beforehand when gold repeatedly resisted selling attempts below USD 4,000, while silver found buyers below USD 57. This resilience came despite several headwinds that had weighed heavily on
Yen rebound hits dollar longs The latest reporting week to 4 August, covers a period in which the dollar’s recent advance came to an abrupt halt after late-July intervention by the BOJ and Fed helped support the Japanese yen. By the end of the reporting week last Tuesday, the dollar index had fallen 1.5%, while […]
The first phase of the artificial-intelligence trade was built around scarcity. There were not enough advanced chips, high-bandwidth memory, networking components, power connections or data-centre capacity to satisfy demand. Investors did not need to know exactly how AI would be monetised. It was enough to own the companies supplying the bottlenecks. That phase is
The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates at 3.50% to 3.75% was widely expected. However, three members dissenting in favour of a rate hike, combined with Chair Kevin Warsh’s deliberately limited forward guidance, left markets with more questions about the direction of monetary policy. With inflation still above target, oil prices vulnerable to […]
With the US Federal Reserve set to announce its latest interest rate decision this week, markets are closely watching whether policymakers will keep rates on hold or signal that further tightening remains on the table. While a pause is widely expected, persistent inflation concerns, fluctuating oil prices, and geopolitical developments continue to complicate the outlook.
The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 2.25%, in line with market expectations. While the decision was widely anticipated, policymakers maintained a cautious stance as rising energy prices and geopolitical tensions continue to pose inflation risks. With markets now focused on the September meeting, experts share their views on the ECB’s outlook
Following the ECB monetary policy announcement, our spokesperson, Hamza Dweik, Head of Trading (MENA), Saxo Bank, has shared his insights.  The ECB’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged was widely expected by markets, but the message from Frankfurt was more important than the decision itself. The Governing Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2.25%, the
Commodities Crude oil extended its rally, with WTI up 1.2% toward $85 a barrel, a fourth straight gain and its highest level since mid-June, while Brent traded back above $92. The move reflects the ongoing US-Iran conflict, now in its 11th day, a Houthi threat to Red Sea shipping, and production shut-ins as Tropical […]
As we move beyond the midpoint of July and into the holiday season, when many traders, investors and analysts step away from their desks for a few weeks, it is an opportune time to take stock of the commodity markets following an eventful first half of the year. The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index has […]
Ruben Dalfovo, Investment Strategist, Saxo Bank  In Saxo’s Outrageous Predictions for 2026, we floated the idea that a Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding could boost global growth. Outrageous, clearly. But when Taylor moves, consumers, brands and search engines tend to follow. Now the rumour mill has done what it does best: moved […]
Gold continues to search for direction following a sharp correction since January, with recent price action increasingly reflecting the market’s struggle to determine whether inflation or slowing economic growth, combined with a returning focus on fiscal debt concerns and currency debasement, will become the dominant macro theme during the second half of the year.
The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index has rallied sharply over the past week, driven overwhelmingly by the energy sector as renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East once again dominate commodity price action. Energy has gained almost 9% during this time, comfortably outperforming industrial metals, agriculture and soft commodities, while precious metals remain
The commodity sector is showing signs of stabilising following a sharp correction that saw the Bloomberg Commodity Index fall around 15% between May and June. So far this month, the index has gained a moderate 2.8%, with all sectors and individual commodities except US natural gas trading higher. The breadth of the recovery is encouraging, […]

















