As we head into Q1 2026, AI remains the defining equity theme, but the “buy anything AI” phase is over. Strong earnings from leading AI players have validated demand, yet they have not fully defused concerns about stretched valuations, massive spending and execution risk. As a result, investors
Saxo Bank
Ahead of the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting on 27–28 January, I’m sharing expert market commentary from three regional and global financial institutions on what to expect from the Fed and the potential implications for markets, interest rates, and investor sentiment. Aliasgar Tambawala Co-CIO, Klay Group We do not expect any major policy developments […]
The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index is heading for yet another record weekly close, up more than 4% and marking its strongest three-week run in almost four years. The index has gained 8.3%% this month and 19.5% over the past year, broadly in line with the MSCI All World Index, while still comfortably outperforming the […]
Winter shock links gas markets worldwide as U.S. freeze-offs meet global LNG competition – Saxo Bank
Natural gas markets have a habit of reminding investors that, despite years of financialisation and growing global trade, weather still matters. Sometimes, it matters a great deal. Over the past week, well below-normal temperatures across large parts of the northern hemisphere have delivered exactly such a reminder. From the U.S. Midwest and Northeast to Northern […]
Gold and silver, which both faced some profit-taking pressure late last week, jumped to fresh record highs as renewed geopolitical tensions resurfaced. Trump’s push to take control of Greenland has widened the geopolitical fault line between the United States and Europe and introduced the risk of tariffs and retaliation. Combined with ongoing Iran risks, concerns […]
In my more than two-decade history of putting together thoughts for the coming quarter, never have I struggled more than I have this quarter with putting together some kind of “base case” for how the economy and markets will shape up in the quarter ahead and beyond. The problem in assembling a view feels as […]
Prices slide as glut narrative strengthens amid developments in Venezuela Oil prices weakened into the start of the week, with Brent sliding toward USD 60 per barrel and WTI trading below USD 57, both hovering near five-year lows. The trigger being the US capture of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro, changing the narrative on Venezuelan […]
‘ The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%–3.75% has injected fresh optimism into global equity markets, though the tone remains cautious. U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied near record highs, supported by lower discount rates that favor long-duration growth sectors like technology […]
The oil market is entering 2026 with an unusual mix of short-term comfort and long-term unease. On the surface, supply looks ample. Inventories have risen, demand growth has cooled, and parts of the curve trade with enough softness to keep macro-focused traders relaxed. But beneath that veneer sits a deeper structural tension that has only […]
Copper, silver and platinum have surged to the top of the commodities leaderboard as the US critical minerals agenda pulls material toward the US, triggering a reshaping of global trade flows and raising concerns about shortfalls elsewhere in markets already defined by tight fundamentals and firm demand. Their addition or reinforcement on the US critical […]
Saxo, the leader in online trading and investment, announced its annual Outrageous Predictions for 2026 today. The future almost never arrives in straight lines. Whether it’s technology, culture, or politics, changes and evolution often come slowly from year to year. But then, suddenly, there is a lurch. Saxo’s outrageous predictions live in those lurches. They are not
It’s never been easier, or trendier, for young people to enter the stock market. In Denmark, one in four adults over the age of 22 is now investing, demonstrating a shift towards younger people becoming more financially aware. The same trend is visible in the Middle East, where rising disposable income, proliferation of digital platforms, […]
A visible rotation: Healthcare outperforms while tech pauses Over the past month, the S&P 500 Healthcare Index gained roughly 8+%, outperforming every major sector, while the S&P 500 Information Technology Index fell by approximately 3-4%. Eli Lilly, Cardinal Health, Regeneron, Biogen, and Merck were among the strongest contributors, with several delivering
“Some of the private data (ADP payrolls) suggests a deceleration in the labor market and up-to-date weekly data on continuing claims suggests that those out of work are having a hard time finding work, while there is widespread evidence of credit stress for many Americans (delinquencies on credit card and auto debt). The government shutdown […]
Macro headlines Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller backs a December interest‑rate cut amid labour‑market concerns and expects a meeting‑by‑meeting approach from January, while futures put the odds at about 70% for the 9–10 December meeting. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly backs cutting rates next month amid a deteriorating labour market she sees as […]
AI’s reality check: Why investors want proof, not promises In our view, AI remains one of the most powerful forces reshaping markets, but the tone is changing. Strong earnings from leading chipmakers e.g., Nvidia’s Q3 FY2026 revenue grew 62% YoY (Source: Nvidia Investor Relations) reassure investors that demand is real, yet the sharp swings […]
Commodities are turning in one of their strongest weeks of the year, in the process outperforming equities, bonds, crypto and most alternative assets. The reopening of the US government sets a flood of delayed economic data in motion while Fed speakers rein in expectations for near-term rate cuts, pressuring tech and growth assets. Precious metals […]
Crude prices tumbled on Wednesday after OPEC’s latest monthly report flipped its third-quarter projection from a 400,000-barrel daily deficit to a 500,000-barrel surplus. The revision—alongside forecasts from other agencies showing a larger surplus into 2026—was widely read as confirmation that the long-anticipated oversupply has arrived. The International Energy Agency in
The US dollar rally has steadied after recent gains, with EURUSD rebounding from 1.1469 to 1.1552 before the greenback found support. The 1.1550–1.1575 range remains key resistance, while USDJPY holds near 153.50 after rejecting a brief dip to 152.82. Despite softer risk sentiment, FX volatility remains low, with USDJPY one-month vols near 18-month lows, suggesting […]
Over 80% of respondents surveyed in the MENA region are shaping their strategies around US political policies and artificial intelligence, signalling a heightened awareness of global developments. The top two leading factors shaping investment decisions this quarter are President Trump’s policies, cited by 83% of respondents, followed closely by AI at 79%. These findings























